"The Wolf of Wall Street" really exists: it anticipates Trump's post on the war by 23 minutes and earns 50 million in half an hour.

It takes just a few minutes in the dim light of Wall Street's pre-opening to achieve a staggering profit. Exactly 23 minutes before a crucial announcement from President Donald Trump, a flurry of "off-the-charts" orders overwhelmed the markets, generating a potential profit estimated at around 50 million dollars in just over half an hour.

On Monday, March 23, 2026, at 7:24 AM New York time, Trump posted a message on Truth Social announcing a five-day suspension of retaliatory raids against power plants in Iran, following "very productive conversations". Yet, about twenty minutes before that communication became public, someone had already acted.

While the world was unaware of the impending de-escalation, a single and unusual market intervention triggered the purchase of S&P 500 futures for about 1.5 billion dollars and, simultaneously, a massive sale of oil futures for nearly 200 million. The unknown trader thus set up a speculative bet: “long” on equities and “short” on crude, precisely targeting the predictable reduction of the war risk premium upon the announcement of the truce.

The market reaction to Trump's post was immediate and violent, in line with the initial hypothesis: U.S. indices surged by about 3% in the pre-market, while crude immediately lost its "war premium", plunging into double digits. Those who placed those massive orders on two inversely correlated assets realized a potential profit of around 50 million dollars in just a few minutes. Essentially, the mysterious trader did not "buy" oil, but rather shorted it, betting on its inevitable collapse while simultaneously wagering on the rise of the stock market.

This millimetric timing raised alarms. The fact that the unusual flows preceded the event and took the "right direction" in two different markets creates a combination of “time + direction + concentration” that makes it difficult to attribute the outcome to mere luck. The suspicion of access to insider information is, therefore, very strong. Now the ball is in the court of the regulatory authorities.

The competence over derivatives and commodities belongs to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the Market Regulation departments of the relevant trading venues, such as the CME Group for the S&P 500 futures. These bodies have the tools to analyze records, reconstruct the order chain, and trace the actual beneficiaries.

The real legal issue will be to demonstrate the causal link between possessing non-public information and the decision to execute trades. In an already heated geopolitical context, where threats and clockwork truces from the White House have repeatedly shaken stocks and commodities, March 23 takes this pattern to the extreme. The market now poses a single, crucial investigative question: who knew the content of Trump's post 23 minutes before its publication?